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The following information may be useful to staff who are responsible for making projections of pupil numbers.
Many areas are facing a serious decline in their primary school population. Local authorities and primary schools faced with falling rolls need to take action to ensure they are equipped to deliver the best possible quality of education with the resources available to them. This guide and tool kit provides advice for schools and for local authorities on such issues as:
This website provides data on the number of families receiving child benefit and the ages of their children in five year bands:
Population estimates for mid 2001 & 2002 at ward level - (Released April 2005). Due to some methodology changes these mid-2001 and mid-2002 ward estimates by the ONS are being published as 'experimental statistics'. They are, however, useful detailed statistics about local populations.
2003 mid year population estimates (released Sept 2004) by local authority
Table 9 from this ONS data set shows the estimated resident population at mid-year 2003:
The last completed census was 2001. All data from it including birth rate and fertility rate information about all parts of the country are available at this link.
Detailed information about a particular local area can be obtained by simply giving the post code for the area. This data could be very useful when school reorganisation plans are being considered.
Redcar and Cleveland is one of three case studies in this guide. The TVJSU provides projected pupil numbers to the authority. This link takes you to the reports page of the TVJSU web site. It demonstrates the wide range of planning data that it makes available to its constituent authorities including population projections to 2021.
The 2004/5 research into pupil projection methods by Hedra for the Department. This is a report of Hedra's findings from its research with 15 authorities in 2004/5. The report:
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The Financial Management Standard in Schools toolkit aids schools to evaluate the quality of their financial management and trains staff to become better financial managers.